Emerging-market investors reduce exposure to riskiest bonds amid selloff

Summary

Emerging-market investors are retreating from their riskiest bond bets due to a significant selloff in global credit markets, which poses a risk to recent gains in developing-world debt. This shift comes amid rising Treasury yields and expectations of tighter US monetary policy, prompting investors to prefer local-currency bonds over dollar-denominated debt. Additionally, factors such as persistent inflation concerns and increased foreign-exchange volatility are exacerbating the pressure on emerging-market assets, heightening the risks associated with carry trades in these markets.

Analysis

emerging-market investors: Emerging-market investors are asset managers, institutions, and other market participants allocating capital to developing-country bonds and related assets. In the reported development, they are reducing exposure to the riskiest emerging-market debt as higher US yields and stress in global credit markets make dollar-denominated and lower-quality bonds less attractive. Global rates: A broad global bond selloff has been driven by expectations of tighter US monetary policy, persistent inflation concerns, and elevated long-term Treasury yields. Risk appetite: Recent market commentary indicates that investors are favoring local-currency emerging-market bonds over dollar debt as rising Treasury yields reduce the appeal of taking additional emerging-market credit risk. Market transmission: Higher US yields, a stronger dollar, and greater foreign-exchange volatility are pressuring emerging-market carry trades and increasing the risk of capital outflows from developing-country assets.

Categories

macro

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