Emerging-market investors reduce exposure to riskiest bonds amid selloff
Summary
Emerging-market investors are retreating from their riskiest bond bets due to a significant selloff in global credit markets, which poses a risk to recent gains in developing-world debt. This shift comes amid rising Treasury yields and expectations of tighter US monetary policy, prompting investors to prefer local-currency bonds over dollar-denominated debt. Additionally, factors such as persistent inflation concerns and increased foreign-exchange volatility are exacerbating the pressure on emerging-market assets, heightening the risks associated with carry trades in these markets.
Analysis
emerging-market investors: Emerging-market investors are asset managers, institutions, and other market participants allocating capital to developing-country bonds and related assets. In the reported development, they are reducing exposure to the riskiest emerging-market debt as higher US yields and stress in global credit markets make dollar-denominated and lower-quality bonds less attractive. Global rates: A broad global bond selloff has been driven by expectations of tighter US monetary policy, persistent inflation concerns, and elevated long-term Treasury yields. Risk appetite: Recent market commentary indicates that investors are favoring local-currency emerging-market bonds over dollar debt as rising Treasury yields reduce the appeal of taking additional emerging-market credit risk. Market transmission: Higher US yields, a stronger dollar, and greater foreign-exchange volatility are pressuring emerging-market carry trades and increasing the risk of capital outflows from developing-country assets.
Categories
macro
Related sources
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-01/bond-slide-grips-emerging-markets-as-fed-risk-drags-sentiment
- https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/bonds/em-local-bonds-gain-favour-as-dollar-debt-lags/articleshow/134377150.cms
- https://www.morganstanley.com/im/en-no/institutional-investor/insights/global-fixed-income-bulletin/a-firmer-fed.html
- https://www.imfconnect.org/content/dam/imf/News%20and%20Generic%20Content/GMM/latest.pdf
- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-15/emerging-currencies-extend-losses-as-bond-market-stress-builds
- https://www.imfconnect.org/content/dam/imf/News%20and%20Generic%20Content/GMM/archive/GMM%20September%201,%202026.docx.pdf
- https://www.imfconnect.org/content/dam/imf/News%20and%20Generic%20Content/GMM/archive/GMM%20September%202,%202026.pdf
- https://www.gramercy.com/2026/09/em-weekly-september-12-2026/
- https://research-center.amundi.com/article/global-investment-views-september-2026
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- https://www.imfconnect.org/content/dam/imf/News%20and%20Generic%20Content/GMM/archive/GMM%20September%2011,%202026.pdf
- https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/whats-behind-selloff-world-bond-markets-2026-09-01/
- https://www.briefs.co/news/us-yield-jump-pushes-em-asia-bond-gaps-toward-records-raisin/