Denmark warns Russia could attack NATO country within months

by@FT

Summary

Denmark’s defence intelligence service assesses a low but growing risk that Russia could launch a limited attack on one or more NATO countries bordering Russia in the coming months. It says Russia would need at least six months to prepare an invasion, while hybrid attacks are expected to intensify sooner.

Analysis

Denmark: Denmark is a Nordic parliamentary democracy and founding member of NATO located in Northern Europe. The country maintains a strong focus on collective defense through its alliances. In the context of this news, Denmark's Defence Intelligence Service has released a threat assessment warning that Russia could launch limited military action against a NATO country bordering Russia within months, while deeming a full invasion highly unlikely but no longer excludable. • Denmark’s FE intelligence service says Russia is likely to increase cyberattacks, sabotage and other hybrid operations against NATO in the coming months. • FE describes the risk of a limited conventional attack on a neighboring NATO country as low but increasing. • The assessment does not specifically predict an attack on Denmark, Greenland or the Faroe Islands. • FE says Russia would need at least six months to prepare an actual invasion of a NATO country. • NATO officials have separately cited recent airspace violations, drone incidents and hybrid activity as tests of Allied resolve. • The warning raises near-term escalation concerns but does not establish that an attack is imminent or inevitable.

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