ASML forecasts AI demand will exceed supply through 2028

by@FT

Summary

ASML has announced that the demand for artificial intelligence (AI) will exceed supply for the next two years. This comes as customers express interest in equipment orders extending into 2029 and 2030, indicating a commitment to long-term AI investments. To address this growing demand, ASML is exploring options to boost its production capacity for 2028, beyond its previously established targets. As the leading supplier of advanced lithography systems crucial for producing the high-performance chips needed in AI infrastructure, ASML's role is pivotal in meeting future industry needs.

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Analysis

ASML: ASML Holding is the world's leading manufacturer of photolithography equipment used to produce advanced semiconductors, specializing in extreme ultraviolet (EUV) and High-NA EUV systems essential for cutting-edge chip fabrication. The company supplies critical machinery to major chipmakers including TSMC, Samsung, and Intel. In its latest quarterly update, ASML stated that AI-driven customer demand for its tools is so robust that planned capacity will fall short in both 2027 and 2028, leading it to explore further production expansions. Capacity Response: ASML is actively investigating ways to increase production capacity for 2028 beyond previously communicated targets to better align with customer forecasts. Demand Visibility: Customers are shifting discussions and expressing interest in equipment orders extending into 2029 and 2030, reflecting expectations of prolonged AI-related investments. Industry Position: ASML remains the primary supplier of the advanced lithography systems required for manufacturing the most sophisticated chips powering AI infrastructure.

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